Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambuur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Bologna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cambuur are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambuur hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cambuur holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cambuur
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Cambuur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40