Boisevs
Portland Hearts of Pine
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/18/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Boise are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the USL League One, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20