GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/3/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Boise are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BoiseWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
One KnoxvilleWWDWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BoiseOne Knoxville
49.2Attack57.9
54.0Defence63.2
54.0Form63.2
54.1Power62.6
1.14xG1.50
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