BoisevsMonterey Bay

Boise are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the USL League One Cup, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.