GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Boise are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BoiseDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Forward MadisonWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BoiseForward Madison
49.2Attack66.7
54.0Defence64.9
54.0Form63.2
54.1Power64.5
1.08xG1.74
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