Bohemiansvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Longford Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the FAI Cup, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80