Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dundalk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00