Bohemiansvs
Drogheda United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Bohemians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Drogheda United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00