Bohemiansvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00