Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bohemians are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Ballkani are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballkani hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ballkani holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60