Bogota FCvs
Union Magdalena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 4/27/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bogota FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00