Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bogota FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tigres FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bogota FC hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40