Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bogota FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Popayan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bogota FC hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20