Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bogota FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Patriotas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.5 against 48.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.0% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
28.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00