Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
29%
HighconfidenceBogota FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Leones FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and bogota FC hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera B, favouring a draw with 29.4% confidence, a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
29.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bogota FCDLWWD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Leones FCDWDDW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Bogota FCLeones FC
27.8Attack20.4
68.1Defence53.7
41.7Form31.5
48.5Power38.3
0.85xG0.41