Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boden · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Boden are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while IFK Umeå are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boden hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 18.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.0% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Boden holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boden
Probability
79.0%
Model confidence
79.0%
Boden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33