Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gottne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Boden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gottne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gottne hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Gottne holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gottne
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
10.9%
Gottne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80