GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Boca Unidos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento de La Banda hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.5% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

19.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca UnidosLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento de La BandaLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Boca UnidosSarmiento de La Banda
42.6Attack33.3
51.9Defence70.4
40.7Form50.0
46.3Power53.0
0.80xG0.91
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