Boca Juniorsvs
Velez Sarsfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/8/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boca Juniors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and velez Sarsfield hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Liga Profesional Argentina, favouring a draw with 28.8% confidence, a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
28.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60