GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Boca Juniors Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independiente Riva. Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors Res. hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Reserve League, while Boca Juniors Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors Res.

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Boca Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boca Juniors Res.WDDWL

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Riva. Res.LLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boca Juniors Res.Independiente Riva. Res.
58.3Attack40.9
83.3Defence56.1
66.7Form40.9
68.5Power47.6
1.75xG0.52
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