Boca Juniors Res.vs
Independiente Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Boca Juniors Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.5 against 69.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40