Boavista SCvsCEAC / Araruama

Boavista SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CEAC / Araruama are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Boavista SC hold a 47.8-point power-rating edge (75.7 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Copa Rio, while Boavista SC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.