Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
BOA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Uberaba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60