Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
BOA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mamoré are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and BOA hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.8% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
26.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00