Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BOA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
BOA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CAP are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and BOA hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while BOA holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BOA
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
BOA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20