Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
BOA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aymorés are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aymorés hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00