Blumenauvs
Marcílio Dias
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Blumenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60