Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Böljan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Böljan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Åstorp are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Böljan hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Böljan holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Böljan
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
11.0%
Böljan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00