GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 7/4/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blacktown Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Blacktown Spartans are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newcastle Jets II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Blacktown Spartans hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.3% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Blacktown Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Blacktown Spartans

Probability

83.3%

Model confidence

83.3%

Blacktown Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Blacktown SpartansWDWLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Newcastle Jets IILLLDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Blacktown SpartansNewcastle Jets II
84.5Attack59.5
61.9Defence27.4
77.4Form33.3
74.3Power41.8
4.43xG1.15
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