Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Blackpool are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Port Vale are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80