Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackburn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Blackburn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barnsley are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackburn hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Blackburn holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackburn
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
10.3%
Blackburn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40