GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Black Stars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Black Stars are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Basel II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Basel II hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Black Stars holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Black Stars

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Black Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Black StarsDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Basel IIDLDLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Black StarsBasel II
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power23.7
1.76xG1.69
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