Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ESMTK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BKV Előre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while ESMTK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and ESMTK hold a 39.4-point power-rating edge (11.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the NB III - Southeast, while ESMTK holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ESMTK
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
ESMTK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60