Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BKMA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BKMA are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Van are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BKMA hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while BKMA holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BKMA
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
11.0%
BKMA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20