Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gandzasar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BKMA are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Gandzasar are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gandzasar hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 75.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gandzasar holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gandzasar
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Gandzasar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20