Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BKMA II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BKMA II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and BKMA II hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the First League, while BKMA II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BKMA II
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
10.0%
BKMA II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00