Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bjelovar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Križevci are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bjelovar hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bjelovar holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bjelovar
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
9.6%
Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00