GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

BIT are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Shanghai Second are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and shanghai Second hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League Two, favouring a draw with 14.7% confidence, a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

32.8%

Model confidence

14.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BITLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai SecondDDLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BITShanghai Second
25.0Attack33.3
38.3Defence41.7
20.0Form23.3
30.8Power35.5
0.93xG1.14
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