GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qingdao Red Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

BIT are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Qingdao Red Lions are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Red Lions hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.3% in the League Two, while Qingdao Red Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Qingdao Red Lions

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

22.3%

Qingdao Red Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BITDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao Red LionsDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BITQingdao Red Lions
25.0Attack35.0
38.3Defence71.7
20.0Form40.0
30.8Power49.9
0.43xG1.25
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