BITvs
Changchun Xidu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
BIT are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Changchun Xidu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Xidu hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
23.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40