Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bistrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Bistrica are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Ilirija are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bistrica hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the 2. SNL, while Bistrica holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bistrica
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
11.3%
Bistrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60