GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Floriana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Birzebbuga are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Floriana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Floriana hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Premier League, while Floriana holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Floriana

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

13.9%

Floriana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BirzebbugaDW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
FlorianaLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BirzebbugaFloriana
50.0Attack67.9
50.0Defence75.6
50.0Form73.1
50.0Power71.0
0.70xG1.81
View match centre →