GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/31/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Barcelona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (69.8 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Birmingham

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BirminghamWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BarcelonaWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BirminghamBarcelona
66.7Attack50.0
61.1Defence33.3
83.3Form41.7
69.8Power44.5
2.57xG1.20
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