GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rhode Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Rhode IslandWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
35.3Attack52.9
58.8Defence62.7
33.3Form49.0
45.0Power55.0
0.82xG1.23
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