Birmingham Legionvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Birmingham Legion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20