GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Birmingham Legion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Loudoun United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the USL Championship, while Birmingham Legion holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Birmingham Legion

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Loudoun UnitedLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
35.3Attack38.9
58.8Defence44.4
33.3Form33.3
45.0Power41.4
1.27xG0.87
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