Birmingham Legionvs
Loudoun United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Loudoun United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the USL Championship, while Birmingham Legion holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20