GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.0 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hartford AthleticWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Birmingham LegionHartford Athletic
35.3Attack24.1
58.8Defence68.5
33.3Form38.9
45.0Power45.8
0.71xG0.59
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