GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Detroit City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Detroit CityDWDDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Birmingham LegionDetroit City
35.3Attack48.1
58.8Defence68.5
33.3Form57.4
45.0Power59.2
0.68xG1.14
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