GGOALVIO

Biel-Bienne logoBiel-BiennevsFC Aarau logoFC Aarau

SCHEDULED

Switzerland · Schweizer Cup · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Biel-Bienne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Biel-Bienne are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Aarau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Biel-Bienne hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (79.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Schweizer Cup, while Biel-Bienne holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Biel-Bienne

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

9.1%

Biel-Bienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Biel-BienneWLWDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC AarauWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Biel-BienneFC Aarau
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
83.3Form50.0
79.1Power53.0
2.88xG1.15
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