GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

BFC Preussen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lokomotive Leipzig are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotive Leipzig hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Regionalliga - Nordost, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.7%

Model confidence

10.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BFC PreussenLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotive LeipzigDWWDL

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BFC PreussenLokomotive Leipzig
22.2Attack75.0
33.3Defence41.7
11.1Form58.3
25.8Power60.3
1.36xG2.04
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